The employment recovery from a skills perspective

State of Australia’s Skills 2021: now and into the future

The employment recovery from a skills perspective

The NSC’s Internet Vacancy Index (IVI) provides timely insights into occupation demand 48. It is the most comprehensive count of online job advertisements newly lodged during a month and is the only source of data on recruitment activity available at the detailed occupation level over time.

Trends in internet job advertisements

The COVID-19 pandemic and associated restrictions saw internet job advertisements – measured by the IVI – fall to an all-time series low in April 2020. However, the latest IVI results at the time of writing, for May 2021, show that recruitment activity increased strongly after the downturn. Job advertisements have now reached a higher level than before the pandemic. The May 2021 IVI shows:

  • There were 245,400 newly lodged job advertisements. This is the highest level of recruitment activity recorded by the series since October 2008.
  • Recruitment activity increased for the 13th consecutive month and now stands 3.5 times higher than the April 202 series low point.
  • Job advertisements exceed levels observed before the COVID-19 downturn, up 46.0% or 77,300 job advertisements compared with pre-COVID-19 levels 49.

 

Recruitment has grown across all eight broad occupational groups

Recruitment activity has grown across all eight broad occupational groups over the period February 2020 to May 2021. Table 16 shows that the strongest gains, compared with pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels, have been for labourers (up by 102.7% or 10,000 job advertisements), followed by community and personal service workers (up by 75.8% or 11,100 job advertisements), machinery operators and drivers (up by 66.6% or 5,200 job advertisements), technicians and trades workers (up by 59.0% or 13,200 job advertisements), and sales workers (up by 52.0% or 6,600 job advertisements).

Table 16: Job advertisements by broad occupational group (1-digit ANZSCO) - comparison to pre-COVID-19 levels

ANZSCO Title

Job advertisements – May 2021

Pre-COVID‑19 comparison

Change (no.)

Change (%)

Managers

26,500

5,200

24.6%

Professionals

68,800

17,300

33.6%

Technicians and Trades Workers

35,500

13,200

59.0%

Community and Personal Service Workers

25,700

11,100

75.8%

Clerical and Administrative Workers

37,800

9,600

34.1%

Sales Workers

19,400

6,600

52.0%

Machinery Operators and Drivers

12,900

5,200

66.6%

Labourers

19,800

10,000

102.7%

All Occupations

245,400

77,300

46.0%

Source: NSC Internet Vacancy Index, seasonally adjusted

The IVI can be used to compare the levels of recruitment activity driven by recovery from the COVID-19 downturn to previous labour market shocks and developments. For example, in May 2021:

  • Recruitment activity for community and personal service workers and technicians and trades workers stands at levels commensurate with all-time series highs.
  • Recruitment activity for managers, professionals, machinery operators and drivers and labourers stands at the highest levels in more than 12 years but remains below peak recruitment activity levels recorded prior to the 2008 global financial crisis.
  • Recruitment activity for clerical and administrative workers and sales workers is comparable with recruitment activity levels observed during the Mining boom (2011).

Job advertisements exceed pre-COVID-19 levels across all 48 detailed occupational groups

At the more detailed (ANZSCO 2-digit) level, job advertisements exceed levels observed before the COVID-19 downturn across all 48 detailed occupational groups 50. The largest increases, compared with pre-COVID-19 levels, were for general inquiry clerks, call centre workers and receptionists (up by 6,500 job advertisements), followed by hospitality workers (up by 5,700 job advertisements), sales assistants and salespersons (up by 5,000 job advertisements), medical practitioners and nurses (up by 4,200 job advertisements) and food trades workers (up 4,000 job advertisements).

Table 17: Job advertisements by detailed occupational group (2-digit ANZSCO) – top 10 largest growth compared with pre-COVID-19 levels

ANZSCO Title

Job advertisements – May 2021

Pre-COVID‑19 comparison

Change (no.)

Change (%)

General-Inquiry Clerks, Call Centre Workers, and Receptionists

18,900

6,500

52.4%

Hospitality Workers

9,900

5,700

138.7%

Sales Assistants and Salespersons

12,400

5,000

68.4%

Medical Practitioners and Nurses

10,400

4,200

66.8%

Food Trades Workers

7,800

4,000

103.9%

Carers and Aides

10,200

3,600

54.3%

Drivers and Storepersons

6,800

3,400

97.7%

Automotive and Engineering Trades Workers

9,800

3,200

49.2%

Health Diagnostic and Therapy Professionals

7,200

2,800

62.1%

Other Labourers

6,500

2,700

71.0%

Source: NSC Internet Vacancy Index, seasonally adjusted

Recruitment activity has accelerated beyond previously observed levels for some occupational groups. For example, one combination of health-related occupations (‘carers and aides’, ‘medical practitioners and nurses’, ‘health diagnostic and therapy professionals’, and ‘health and welfare support workers’) surpassed record high job advertisement levels during late 2020 and early 2021. In May 2021 recruitment activity for these occupations remained at levels commensurate with record highs. In total, there were 30,500 advertisements for the positions in this combination of occupations during May 2021.

The IVI is one important source the NSC uses to understand current skills needs. When combined with other insights such as the skills of job seekers and where shortages may exist, it helps build our ability to improve the efficiency of matching in the labour market.

Footnotes

48

The IVI can be used as an indicator of recruitment activity or demand but is not a complete measure as the IVI is not a count of all job vacancies in the Australian labour market.

49

Pre-COVID-19 job advertisement levels are defined as the 12-month average in the seasonally adjusted IVI series to February 2020.

50

Some customised occupational groups are used in the IVI’s analysis at the 2-digit level of detail.